CLM-0011 — Sea 32, land 13 — the 71%/29% ratio
DOES_NOT_HOLD_UNDER_DECLARED_RULES Audit report · deterministic reproduction
1 · Claim as commonly stated
Sea occurs 32 times and land 13 times, matching Earth's water-to-land ratio.
Source note: Widely circulated in numerical-miracle literature and popular media; earliest precise source unverified, attribution left open rather than guessed.
2 · Reproduction method
Declared counting-rule matrix, executed against corpus quran:hafs-kufan:v1. Full rules, counts, and sample locations: EXP-0008.
3 · Result
Not reproduced under any declared rule (bahr: surface 24, lemma 41, root 42; barr: surface 19, lemma 22, root 32); the lemma rule gives 41 vs 22 (65%/35%).
4 · Sensitivity to counting rules
DOES_NOT_HOLD_UNDER_DECLARED_RULES — additionally, the target ratio itself depends on which senses of 'land' are admitted, a choice the popular claim never declares.
5 · Statistical context
STATISTICALLY_UNASSESSED — no preregistered null exists for 'a declared rule lands on a meaningful number'; constructing one after seeing the result would be circular.
6 · Best argument in favor
The lemma ratio (41:22) does lean toward sea.
7 · Strongest objection
Neither the counts nor the target ratio survive a declared rule; the Earth-surface figure itself varies by definition.
8 · All recorded objections
- Neither the counts nor the target ratio survive a declared rule; the Earth-surface figure itself varies by definition.
- With thousands of countable properties and free choice of counting rule, exact matches are expected somewhere by chance alone; only rules declared before counting carry weight.
9 · Final status
DOES_NOT_HOLD_UNDER_DECLARED_RULES
10 · Public summary
Not reproduced under any declared rule (bahr: surface 24, lemma 41, root 42; barr: surface 19, lemma 22, root 32); the lemma rule gives 41 vs 22 (65%/35%)..
11 · Reproduce it yourself
python3 services/research-worker/scripts/run_experiment.py data/research/specs/EXP-0008.json — the registry entry lives in data/research/claims.json; the result files record input checksums and environment.